On September 30, 2026, the Kremlin continues its strategy of pressure on Ukraine, hoping to achieve desired concessions from the Ukrainian government by destroying its energy infrastructure and industry. According to Ukrainian and Western media, President Putin has no intention of halting military actions, despite increasing losses.
Kremlin's Strategy: Destroying Ukraine's Economy
The primary goal of the Kremlin is to destroy Ukraine's energy infrastructure through massive airstrikes, leaving it without water and heat. This strategy, analysts believe, may lead to panic and despair in Ukrainian society. However, there is also an argument that such actions could backfire, as strikes are also being carried out against Russia, inflicting serious damage on its economy.
War Costs and Economic Consequences
Military spending in Russia for the next year is planned to be over a third higher than this year. The budget deficit is growing, and high oil prices are partially saving the situation. However, if prices fall, it will create additional pressure on the budget. According to Western media, CIA chief Ratcliff attempted to persuade the Kremlin to agree to a ceasefire during his recent visit to Moscow, but so far without success.
Frontline Situation and Possible Outcomes
In Ukraine, it is believed that even massive shelling will not be able to break resistance. Many experts think that Ukraine's energy system is now better protected than before. However, if the Kremlin continues its strategy, it could lead to a collapse of social and economic life in Ukraine. In the long term, without a stable economy, the country will not be able to sustain a war of attrition.
- The Kremlin plans to continue attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure.
- Military spending in Russia is increasing, creating additional pressure on its economy.
- The situation on the front remains tense, with possible changes in initiative.