On November 11, 2026, negotiations took place in Abu Dhabi between representatives of Ukraine, Russia, and the USA, which, at first glance, seemed to proceed without significant breakthroughs. However, participants noted that the discussions were constructive and included important issues such as the exchange of prisoners and post-war security guarantees.
Changes in Europe's Position
One of the key points of the negotiations concerned the new security architecture in Europe. Previously, Europe and Kyiv insisted that discussions on the terms of a peace agreement could only begin after a ceasefire. However, recently a joint statement from the European Union, NATO, and the United Kingdom appeared on the EU's website, expressing their readiness to discuss the new security system even before the war concludes. This may indicate Europe's willingness to change its approach to the conflict.
Nuclear Threat and Its Consequences
At the same time, Russian officials, including President Putin, have repeatedly stated that a war with Europe would "inevitably" lead to a nuclear conflict. The only security guarantee for European countries could be the USA, which has parity with Russia in nuclear weapons. This means that in the event of a nuclear war between Europe and Russia, the USA could guarantee mutual destruction, which deters NATO from direct involvement in the conflict on Ukraine's side.
Prospects for the Peace Process
Ending the war in Ukraine could be beneficial for both Russia and Ukraine if Europe shows a willingness to compromise. Moscow would obtain a new security system, while Kyiv would receive security guarantees and investment for reconstruction. The position of the Democratic Party of the USA plays a crucial role in this process, as it may choose to support continued warfare or, conversely, facilitate peace negotiations. The choice made by the party could significantly influence Europe's and Ukraine's readiness for compromises.